股票作了十几年了，无兴趣与任何人征论了，只是希望兄弟们别把任何冬冬当金科玉绿。给你个例子。我们有个客户，特有前那种，上一次海湾战争前，大举买入石油的future and call option, cause he believed that the oil price would defenitely rise if the US started the war. the result is poor, he lost 90% of all his asset, as the oil price was getting down. the analyst who had told him to long then explain to him that the reason is the previus price had already reacted this fact. So, they are always right, if price down, they said it's right, as it had reacted before, if up, they said that's normal, as war made the oil supply decrease. by the way, i was an analyst before.