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这篇文章还算客观公允,值得一看。

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — the most consequential military conflict Europe has witnessed since the Second World War — has riveted the attention of the world. Observers have grappled with the meaning of the act of aggression and scrambled to ponder the wider implications of the war. Almost inevitably people look to draw analogies—both historical and contemporary ones. 
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Replies, comments and Discussions:

  • 枫下茶话 / 和平之路 / 美国人的做法越来越莫名其妙。一方面派代表团去台湾,自己削弱自己的strategic ambiguity 的一贯立场,一边又要求老中和自己一起公开敌对俄国的核讹诈。重赏之下必有勇夫,从来没有听说过下重拳猛击别人然后让别人替自己去浴血奋战 +4
    U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken told China Foreign Minister Wang Yi Saturday that the “world is watching” how his and other nations respond to the Russian invasion of Ukraine.
    • 核弹不仅是对西方国家的威胁,而是对全世界的威胁,包括中国。 +4
      • 谁的核弹都是对人类的威胁,包括印度的和朝鲜的。所以才需要强化对MAD原则的坚信,来维系整个体系千钧一发的平衡 +2
        • 你说的很有道理,这句话什么时候说都可以
    • 这篇文章还算客观公允,值得一看。
      Russia’s invasion of Ukraine — the most consequential military conflict Europe has witnessed since the Second World War — has riveted the attention of the world. Observers have grappled with the meaning of the act of aggression and scrambled to ponder the wider implications of the war. Almost inevitably people look to draw analogies—both historical and contemporary ones. 
      • 你一说公允,我就不想看了。开玩笑 😂 +1
      • 这篇文章其实忽略了一个很重要的因素,甚至最重要的因素。台海与俄乌的不同,在于大陆还是把台湾视作自己的一部分,如果台湾宣布独立,不论是在别人操纵之下,还是自主行事,就很有可能是 all bets are off and all hell breaks loose 的局面 +2
        • 文章里多少还是提到了这个意思 Moreover, most Chinese citizens consider Taiwan to be Chinese territory and view the island as something worth fighting for.
          Indeed, the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has staked its political legitimacy on the ultimate goal of unifying Taiwan with China and in the meantime is working resolutely to prevent the island from becoming de jureindependent.
          • 不能直接地指出两岸大战的导火索就是台湾公开宣布独立,就不能说是完全公允的观点。两岸过去相安无事的基点,是双方都在纸面上认为自己是中土的合法政府。这个基点如果被台湾独立所动摇,也许就是又一场战争的开端 +2
            • 我觉得台湾也就这样了,不大可能继续宣布独立,打不起来。能不打仗还是不要打,双输。 +1
              • 两岸紧张状态是个不稳平衡,时间长不了。或统或独,终究得有个了段。台湾人忍不了了,大陆人等不及了,现在就这个状态,高危 +3
                • 2024
                • 还是取决于中美关系。
    • 没认清形势
    • 共党一直没放弃和美国和好,所以美国想拿捏一下。 +3
    • 找个甩锅的理由恶心一下老中,顺便给自己人做个姿态,大多数美国人也不会觉得荒谬 +5
    • 我觉得是因为乌克兰的事安抚一下岛内情绪。 +1
    • 胡萝卜加大棒是一个政治人物的基本功