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枫下家园 / 理财投资税务 / 大盘进入中期调整个人一点看法,供讨论,欢迎不同意见。
大盘从今年1200多点涨到今天,已经超过50%。如果没有什么特大利好消息,年内创新高的可能性和力度有限。理由如下:
1。 上周CSCO和工作利好没能刺激大盘上涨,证实上涨动力不足
2。 近期底价股补涨,这是股市到顶和中期调整的预兆
3。 从基本面讲,公司盈利不能JUSTIFY目前的指数。
4。 股市缺乏明确的热点或强式版快
股市急需要借坏消息进入调整,如果有特大利坏消息,调整将是短暂的,否则需要数月。
-oldmonk(扫地老僧);
2003-11-10
{421}
(#1458781@0)
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说得有点道理.
-realistic(六客);
2003-11-11
(#1458984@0)
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We will see Nasdaq drop to 1900 coming Monday. If break 1900, it might drop to 1700. Just my opinion
-oldmonk(扫地老僧);
2003-11-14
(#1465777@0)
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坚信NAZ中期回调之前必破2000
-yanggu(盲人骑瞎马夜半临深池);
2003-11-14
(#1465789@0)
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I wish. Already tried twice, 1992 & 1978, but all failed. See if it would try the 3rd time.
-oldmonk(扫地老僧);
2003-11-14
(#1465810@0)
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I think the chance to break 1900>50%, but without bad news, I cannot see that low. Maybe 1785 is the lowest I can see now.
-szman(慕容);
2003-11-14
(#1465894@0)
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The general market effectively breaks 1900 today. I could say 70% of propability, it will go down. However, the market might hangs around this point for a few days.
-oldmonk(扫地老僧);
2003-11-18
(#1471910@0)
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If it goes back to 1700, than it would effectively break the upward trend since March...the last time it bottomed at 1850, probably it can bottom near that this time....I still expect to see a upward trend before yr end...afterall, no bad news so far
-binzhou98(老虎);
2003-11-18
{162}
(#1471915@0)
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I am not an expert. We have too many here, WINS etc. I guess it should drop close to 200 Moving Average. No pain, no gain
-oldmonk(扫地老僧);
2003-11-18
(#1471925@0)
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大盘已3日收在50均线下面,如果明天大盘进一部下探,中期调整已经确立。
-oldmonk(扫地老僧);
2003-11-20
(#1476677@0)